Answer:
D. Over Confidence
Explanation:
Overconfidence bias occurs when an individual has more confidence than necessary given the fact. It is the tendency to hold a false and misleading assessments of our skills, intellect, or talent. It is an egoistic belief an individual expresses thinking he's better than he actually is. It's a false sense of their skill or self belief. Areas it's usually expressed is in timing optimism, like the one stated in the question, illusions of control and desirability effects.