A study by the Pew Research Center1 reports that in 2010, for the first time, more adults aged 18 to 29 got their news from the Internet than from television. In a random sample of 1500 adults of all ages in the US, 66% said television was one of their main sources of news. Does this provide evidence that more than 65% of all adults in the US use television as one of their main sources for news?

State the null and alternative hypotheses.
What is the test statistic?
What is the p-value?
What is the conclusion?
Do we find evidence that more than 65% of all US adults use television as one of their main sources for news?

Respuesta :

Answer:

Null hypothesis:[tex]p \leq 0.65[/tex]  

Alternative hypothesis:[tex]p > 0.65[/tex]  

[tex]z=\frac{0.66 -0.65}{\sqrt{\frac{0.65(1-0.65)}{1500}}}=0.812[/tex]  

[tex]p_v =2*P(z>0.812)=0.208[/tex]  

So the p value obtained was a very high value and using the significance level assumed [tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex] we have [tex]p_v>\alpha[/tex] so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to FAIL to reject the null hypothesis, and we can said that at 5% of significance the true proportion it's not significantly higher from 0.65.  

We don't have enough evidence to conclude that the true % it's higher than 65%, since we fail to reject the null hypothesis on this case.

Step-by-step explanation:

1) Data given and notation

n=1500 represent the random sample taken

X represent the adults that   said television was one of their main sources of news.

[tex]\hat p=0.66[/tex] estimated proportion of adults that said television was one of their main sources of news.

[tex]p_o=0.65[/tex] is the value that we want to test

[tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex] represent the significance level

Confidence=95% or 0.95

z would represent the statistic (variable of interest)

[tex]p_v[/tex] represent the p value (variable of interest)  

2) Concepts and formulas to use  

We need to conduct a hypothesis in order to test the claim that the proportion is higher than 0.65:  

Null hypothesis:[tex]p \leq 0.65[/tex]  

Alternative hypothesis:[tex]p > 0.65[/tex]  

When we conduct a proportion test we need to use the z statistic, and the is given by:  

[tex]z=\frac{\hat p -p_o}{\sqrt{\frac{p_o (1-p_o)}{n}}}[/tex] (1)  

The One-Sample Proportion Test is used to assess whether a population proportion [tex]\hat p[/tex] is significantly different from a hypothesized value [tex]p_o[/tex].

3) Calculate the statistic  

Since we have all the info requires we can replace in formula (1) like this:  

[tex]z=\frac{0.66 -0.65}{\sqrt{\frac{0.65(1-0.65)}{1500}}}=0.812[/tex]  

4) Statistical decision  

It's important to refresh the p value method or p value approach . "This method is about determining "likely" or "unlikely" by determining the probability assuming the null hypothesis were true of observing a more extreme test statistic in the direction of the alternative hypothesis than the one observed". Or in other words is just a method to have an statistical decision to fail to reject or reject the null hypothesis.  

The significance level assumed [tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex]. The next step would be calculate the p value for this test.  

Since is a right tailed test the p value would be:  

[tex]p_v =P(z>0.812)=0.208[/tex]  

So the p value obtained was a very high value and using the significance level assumed [tex]\alpha=0.05[/tex] we have [tex]p_v>\alpha[/tex] so we can conclude that we have enough evidence to FAIL to reject the null hypothesis, and we can said that at 5% of significance the true proportion it's not significantly higher from 0.65.  

Do we find evidence that more than 65% of all US adults use television as one of their main sources for news?

We don't have enough evidence to conclude that the true % it's higher than 65%, since we fail to reject the null hypothesis on this case.

The hypothesis for adults who use tv as their main source of news are:

  • null hypothesis says population is equal to 65%
  • alternate hypothesis says it is greater.

What is a hypothesis?

This is a statement that is made during a research study which is put through statistical testing to determine if it is true.

a. The null hypothesis

H0: P = 0.65

The alternate hypothesis

H1: P > 0.65

b. How to solve for the test statistics.

We have to solve using the z test statistics

[tex]z = \frac{p-P}{SE} \\\\z = \frac{0.66-0.65}{0.013}[/tex]

z = 0.01/0.013

= 0.77

c. Next we have to solve for the p value. Note that this is a right tailed test

Enter z(0.77) on a p value calculator

= 0.2206

The p value is 0.2206

d. The conclusion of the test is given that the p value that has been calculated is very high, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

e. There is no evidence that more than 65 percent of adults use the television as their source of news

Read more on test statistics here: https://brainly.com/question/4621112